Age, period and cohort-related trends in prescription opioid use in the USA, 1999-2018.

BACKGROUND: To provide insight into the longitudinal dynamics of opioid use throughout the overdose crisis, this study estimated the separate influences of age, period and cohort on prescription opioid use during 1999-2018 in the USA. METHODS: Data from 10 cycles of the cross-sectional National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used to conduct an age-period-cohort analysis of the prevalence of prescription opioid use (n=63 500 across 1999-2018). Temporal trends were graphically visualised. The median polish approach was used to estimate age, period and cohort-related effects on prescription opioid use. RESULTS: Prescription opioid use broadly increased across the lifespan, with steeper prevalence increases observed from young adulthood to mid-adulthood. Period-related variation was consistent with recognised nationwide declines in opioid prescribing. While there was no evidence of systematic cohort effects, compared with individuals born in 1951-1954, those born during 1963-1966 had greater prescription opioid use (prevalence ratio (PR)=1.23, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.43), whereas the 1991-1994 and 1999-2002 cohorts had lower prescription opioid use (PR91-94=0.70, 95% CI: 0.50 to 0.98; PR99-02=0.72, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.81). CONCLUSION: In the USA, longitudinal trends in prescription opioid use during 1999-2018 were predominantly driven by age and period influences. The cohort of youngest baby boomers experienced greater prescription opioid use, whereas recent-born cohorts have had lower use. As the overdose crisis continues evolving, such population-level characterisations of age, period and cohort dynamics are instrumental in understanding opioid use and can inform prevention and intervention approaches by identifying population groups more likely to use opioids who, thus, may also experience related outcomes.

Racial and ethnic differences and COVID-19 pandemic-related changes in drug overdose deaths in North Carolina.

PURPOSE: To examine racial and ethnic differences and COVID-19 pandemic-related changes in key characteristics of drug overdose deaths in North Carolina. METHODS: We used North Carolina State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System data to describe specific drug-involvement, bystander presence, and naloxone administration for drug overdose deaths by race and ethnicity during pre-COVID-19 (May 2019-February 2020) and COVID-19 periods (March 2020-December 2020). RESULTS: For all racial and ethnic groups, drug overdose death rates and the percentage with fentanyl and alcohol involvement increased from the pre-COVID-19 to COVID-19 period, with fentanyl involvement highest among American Indian and Alaska Native (82.2%) and Hispanic (81.4%) individuals and alcohol involvement highest among Hispanic individuals (41.2%) during the COVID-19 period. Cocaine involvement remained high among Black non-Hispanic individuals (60.2%) and increased among American Indian and Alaska Native individuals (50.6%). There was an increase in the percentage of deaths with a bystander present from the pre-COVID-19 to COVID-19 period for all racial and ethnic groups, with more than half having a bystander present during the COVID-19 period. There was a decrease in the percentage of naloxone administered for most racial and ethnic groups, with the lowest percentage among Black non-Hispanic individuals (22.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Efforts to address increasing inequities in drug overdose deaths, including expanded community naloxone access, are needed.

Association of Traumatic Knee Injury With Radiographic Evidence of Knee Osteoarthritis in Military Officers.

OBJECTIVE: The association between knee injury and knee osteoarthritis (OA) is understudied relative to its importance, particularly in younger populations. This study was undertaken to examine the association of knee injury with radiographic features of knee OA in military officers, who have a physically demanding profession and high rates of knee injury. METHODS: Participants were recruited in 2015-2017 from an existing program that enrolled 6,452 military officers during 2004-2009. Officers with a history of knee ligament or meniscal injuries (n = 117 via medical record review) were compared to officers with no history of knee injury (n = 143). Bilateral posteroanterior knee radiographs were obtained using a standardized fixed-flexion positioning frame. All images were read for Kellgren/Lawrence (K/L) grade, osteophyte (OST), and joint space narrowing (JSN) scores. Data were analyzed using linear-risk regression models with generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Injured and noninjured participants were similar (mean age 28 years, mean body mass index 25 kg/m2 , ~40% female). The mean time from first knee injury to imaging among injured participants was 9.2 years. Compared with noninjured knees, greater prevalence of radiographic OA (K/L grade ≥ 2), OST (grade ≥ 1), and JSN (grade ≥ 1) was observed among injured knees, with prevalence differences of +16% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 10%, 22%), +29% (95% CI 20%, 38%), and + 17% (95% CI 10%, 24%), respectively. Approximately 1 in 6 officers with prior knee injury progressed to radiographic OA by age 30 years. CONCLUSION: At the midpoint of a projected 20-year military career, officers with a history of traumatic knee injury have a markedly increased prevalence of knee radiographic OA compared to officers without injury.

An Illustrative Review of Substance Use-Specific Insights From the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this illustrative, thematic review was to demonstrate the utility of data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health) for substance use research and to describe substance use-specific insights gained from Add Health research over the past 2 decades. METHODS: We searched multiple electronic databases (PubMed, PsycInfo, and Web of Science) and selected an illustrative sample of 40 articles that used Add Health data and longitudinally examined a measure of alcohol, marijuana, or illicit drug use or prescription drug misuse as the exposure or outcome in association with diverse domains of additional factors assessed (social, emotional, behavioral, contextual, biological, and genetic). RESULTS: Included articles identified several key associations between substance use behaviors and additional factors from a wide range of domains. For example, results from several studies indicated that experiences of sexual violence, adolescent dating violence, and intimate partner violence are associated with an increased likelihood of later prescription opioid misuse, heavy drinking, and marijuana use, with some differences by biological gender and race/ethnicity. Results from other studies showed that bidirectional associations between substance use and mental health differ by specific type of substance and mental health condition. DISCUSSION: Existing research using Add Health data has provided valuable insights regarding substance use by leveraging the study's longitudinal design, the prospective nature of data collection, the breadth and depth of substance use questions assessed from adolescence to adulthood, the size and diversity of the cohort, and the wide range of additional factors measured over time.

Differences in overdose deaths by intent: Unintentional & suicide drug poisonings in North Carolina, 2015-2019.

Comprehensive fatal overdose prevention requires an understanding of the fundamental causes and context surrounding drug overdose. Using a social determinants of health (SDOH) framework, this descriptive study examined unintentional and self-inflicted (i.e., suicide) overdose deaths in North Carolina (NC), focusing on specific drug involvement and contextual factors. Unintentional and suicide overdose deaths were identified using 2015-2019 NC death certificate data. Specific drug involvement was assessed by searching literal text fields for drug mentions. County-level contextual factors were obtained from NC Institute of Medicine and County Health Rankings, encompassing five SDOH domains (economic stability, social/community context, health care access/quality, education access/quality, neighborhood/built environment). Descriptive statistics were calculated by intent for drug involvement and a variety of contextual factors. During 2015-2019, 9% of NC drug overdose deaths were self-inflicted and 89% were unintentional (2% other/undetermined). Unintentional overdoses largely involved illicit drugs [fentanyl (47%), cocaine (33%), heroin (29%)]. Suicide overdoses frequently involved prescription opioids [oxycodone (18%), hydrocodone (10%)] and antidepressants (32%). Overall, overdose deaths tended to occur in under-resourced counties across all SDOH domains, though unintentional overdoses occurred more often among residents of under-resourced counties than suicide overdoses, with differences most pronounced for economic stability-related factors. There are notable distinctions between unintentional and suicide overdose deaths in demographics and drug involvement, though the assessment of SDOH demonstrated that overdose mortality is broadly associated with marginalization across all domains. These findings highlight the value of allocating resources to prevention and intervention approaches that target upstream causes of overdose (e.g., housing first, violence prevention programs).

Sociodemographic and Clinical Predictors of Prescription Opioid Use in a Longitudinal Community-Based Cohort Study of Middle-Aged and Older Adults.

OBJECTIVES: Identifying factors associated with opioid use in middle-aged and older adults is a fundamental step in the mitigation of potentially unnecessary opioid consumption and opioid-related harms. METHODS: Using longitudinal data on a community-based cohort of adults aged 50-90 years residing in Johnston County, North Carolina, we examined sociodemographic and clinical factors in non-opioid users (n = 786) at baseline (2006-2010) as predictors of opioid use at follow-up (2013-2015). Variables included age, sex, race, obesity, educational attainment, employment status, household poverty rate, marital status, depressive symptoms, social support, pain catastrophizing, pain sensitivity, insurance status, polypharmacy, and smoking status. RESULTS: At follow-up, 13% of participants were using prescription opioids. In the multivariable model, high pain catastrophizing (adjusted odds ratio; 95% confidence interval = 2.14; 1.33-3.46), polypharmacy (2.08; 1.23-3.53), and history of depressive symptoms (2.00; 1.19-3.38) were independent markers of opioid use. DISCUSSION: Findings support the assessment of these modifiable factors during clinical encounters in patients ≥ 50 years old with chronic pain.

Literal text analysis of poly-class and polydrug overdose deaths in North Carolina, 2015-2019.

BACKGROUND: The literal text on death certificates was leveraged to enhance the examination of trends in the specific drugs and drug combinations involved in North Carolina (NC) overdose deaths from 2015 to 2019. METHODS: Using NC death certificate data, overdose deaths included those with a drug poisoning as the underlying ICD-10 cause-of-death code (n = 10,117). The literal text from three death certificate fields were searched for drug mentions by integrating a tool developed by the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists Overdose Subcommittee with search terms originating from a National Center for Health Statistics/Food and Drug Administration collaboration. Descriptive statistics were calculated to evaluate substance classes, specific drugs, and drug combinations most frequently involved in these deaths over time. RESULTS: From 2015-2019, polydrug involvement in NC overdose deaths increased (71% in 2015 to 75% in 2019). During the study period, opioid involvement shifted from heroin and/or oxycodone in 2015 to predominantly fentanyl in 2019, with fentanyl involvement increasing from 15% to 58%. Psychostimulant involvement increased for both cocaine (2015: 21%, 2019: 35%) and methamphetamine (2015: 3%, 2019: 13%). Benzodiazepine involvement, including alprazolam and clonazepam, declined during the study period, while the involvement of alcohol and antiepileptics/sedative-hypnotics, specifically gabapentin, remained stable. The top polydrug combinations in 2019 were fentanyl + cocaine (15% of all overdose deaths), fentanyl + heroin (10%), fentanyl + cocaine + heroin (6%), and fentanyl + methamphetamine (4%). CONCLUSIONS: Incorporation of literal text methodology into ongoing overdose surveillance can facilitate the identification of specific, emerging drugs and combinations and inform targeted overdose prevention approaches.

Associations of housing stress with later substance use outcomes: A systematic review.

A synthesis of existing evidence regarding the association of housing stress with later substance use outcomes can help support and inform housing interventions as a potential strategy to address problematic substance use. We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Web of Science, PsycInfo, CINAHL, Social Work Abstracts, and Sociological Abstracts and systematically screened for articles examining housing stress and later substance use outcomes among U.S. adults. Across 38 relevant articles published from 1991 to 2020, results demonstrated an association of homelessness with an increased likelihood of substance use, substance use disorders (SUD), and overdose death. Results regarding the association of homelessness with receipt and completion of SUD treatment were mixed, and one study indicated no association of homelessness with motivation to change substance use behaviors. Several studies did not find an association of unstable housing with substance use or receipt of SUD treatment, while others found an association of unstable housing with intensified SUD symptoms and a decreased likelihood of completing SUD treatment. Overall, while there is evidence of an association of homelessness with later substance use, SUD, and overdose death, results for other forms of housing stress and some substance use outcomes are less consistent. There are several methodological considerations specific to selected measures of housing stress and substance use, study populations, and analytic approaches that have implications for results and directions for future research. Despite these considerations, results collectively suggest that innovative interventions to address housing stress, namely homelessness, may help mitigate some substance use outcomes.

Viral dynamics of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and applications to diagnostic and public health strategies.

SARS-CoV-2 infections are characterized by viral proliferation and clearance phases and can be followed by low-level persistent viral RNA shedding. The dynamics of viral RNA concentration, particularly in the early stages of infection, can inform clinical measures and interventions such as test-based screening. We used prospective longitudinal quantitative reverse transcription PCR testing to measure the viral RNA trajectories for 68 individuals during the resumption of the 2019-2020 National Basketball Association season. For 46 individuals with acute infections, we inferred the peak viral concentration and the duration of the viral proliferation and clearance phases. According to our mathematical model, we found that viral RNA concentrations peaked an average of 3.3 days (95% credible interval [CI] 2.5, 4.2) after first possible detectability at a cycle threshold value of 22.3 (95% CI 20.5, 23.9). The viral clearance phase lasted longer for symptomatic individuals (10.9 days [95% CI 7.9, 14.4]) than for asymptomatic individuals (7.8 days [95% CI 6.1, 9.7]). A second test within 2 days after an initial positive PCR test substantially improves certainty about a patient's infection stage. The effective sensitivity of a test intended to identify infectious individuals declines substantially with test turnaround time. These findings indicate that SARS-CoV-2 viral concentrations peak rapidly regardless of symptoms. Sequential tests can help reveal a patient's progress through infection stages. Frequent, rapid-turnaround testing is needed to effectively screen individuals before they become infectious.

SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Risk Among National Basketball Association Players, Staff, and Vendors Exposed to Individuals With Positive Test Results After COVID-19 Recovery During the 2020 Regular and Postseason.

Importance: Clinical data are lacking regarding the risk of viral transmission from individuals who have positive reverse-transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) SARS-CoV-2 test results after recovery from COVID-19. Objective: To describe case characteristics, including viral dynamics and transmission of infection, for individuals who have clinically recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection but continued to have positive test results following discontinuation of isolation precautions. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used data collected from June 11, 2020, to October 19, 2020, as part of the National Basketball Association (NBA) closed campus occupational health program in Orlando, Florida, which required daily RT-PCR testing and ad hoc serological testing for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. Nearly 4000 NBA players, staff, and vendors participated in the NBA's regular and postseason occupational health program in Orlando. Persistent positive cases were those who recovered from a documented SARS-CoV-2 infection, satisfied US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria for discontinuation of isolation precautions, and had at least 1 postinfection positive RT-PCR test(s) result. Exposures: Person-days of participation in indoor, unmasked activities that involved direct exposure between persistent positive cases and noninfected individuals. Main Outcomes and Measures: Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 following interaction with persistent positive individuals, as measured by the number of new COVID-19 cases in the Orlando campus program. Results: Among 3648 individuals who participated, 36 (1%) were persistent positive cases, most of whom were younger than 30 years (24 [67%]) and male (34 [94%]). Antibodies were detected in 33 individuals (91.7%); all remained asymptomatic following the index persistent positive RT-PCR result. Cycle threshold values for persistent positive RT-PCR test results were typically above the Roche cobas SARS-CoV-2 limit of detection. Cases were monitored for up to 100 days (mean [SD], 51 [23.9] days), during which there were at least 1480 person-days of direct exposure activities, with no transmission events or secondary infections of SARS-CoV-2 detected (0 new cases). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective cohort study of the 2020 NBA closed campus occupational health program, recovered individuals who continued to test positive for SARS-CoV-2 following discontinuation of isolation were not infectious to others. These findings support time-based US Centers of Disease Control and Prevention recommendations for ending isolation.

Incidence of Lower Extremity Injury in the National Football League: 2015 to 2018.

BACKGROUND: Lower extremity injuries are the most common injuries in professional sports and carry a high burden to players and teams in the National Football League (NFL). Injury prevention strategies can be refined by a foundational understanding of the occurrence and effect of these injuries on NFL players. PURPOSE: To determine the incidence of specific lower extremity injuries sustained by NFL players across 4 NFL seasons. STUDY DESIGN: Descriptive epidemiology study. METHODS: This retrospective, observational study included all time-loss lower extremity injuries that occurred during football-related activities during the 2015 through 2018 seasons. Injury data were collected prospectively through a leaguewide electronic health record (EHR) system and linked with NFL game statistics and player participation to calculate injury incidence per season and per 10,000 player-plays for lower extremity injuries overall and for specific injuries. Days lost due to injury were estimated through 2018 for injuries occurring in the 2015 to 2017 seasons. RESULTS: An average of 2006 time-loss lower extremity injuries were reported each season over this 4-year study, representing a 1-season risk of 41% for an NFL player. Incidence was stable from 2015 to 2018, with an estimated total missed time burden each NFL season of approximately 56,700 player-days lost. Most (58.7%) of these injuries occurred during games, with an overall higher rate of injuries observed in preseason compared with regular season (11.5 vs 9.4 injuries per 10,000 player-plays in games). The knee was the most commonly injured lower extremity region (29.3% of lower body injuries), followed by the ankle (22.4%), thigh (17.2%), and foot (9.1%). Hamstring strains were the most common lower extremity injury, followed by lateral ankle sprains, adductor strains, high ankle sprains, and medial collateral ligament tears. CONCLUSION: Lower extremity injuries affect a high number of NFL players, and the incidence did not decrease over the 4 seasons studied. Prevention and rehabilitation protocols for these injuries should continue to be prioritized.

Is the Association between Knee Injury and Knee Osteoarthritis Modified by the Presence of General Joint Hypermobility.

Objective: To evaluate whether joint hypermobility modifies the association between knee joint injury and knee osteoarthritis (OA) among adults. Methods: Data were from three studies: Genetics of Generalized Osteoarthritis (GOGO; N=2,341), Genetics of Osteoarthritis (GO; N=1,872), and the population-based Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project (JoCoOA; N=1,937). Knee injury was defined as a self-report of prior fracture or severe injury to either knee. OA was defined using three variables: knee pain (pain, aching, or stiffness of the knee on most days), radiographic OA (rOA; Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2-4), and symptomatic OA (sxOA; knee rOA with knee pain). Joint hypermobility was defined as Beighton score ≥4. For each study, separate logistic regression models, stratified by joint hypermobility, were used to estimate the association of knee injury with knee pain, rOA, and sxOA, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and race (JoCoOA only); statistical interactions between injury and hypermobility were assessed (p-value<0.10). Results: In all three studies, knee injury was associated with OA variables of knee pain, rOA, and sxOA (adjusted odds ratios [aOR] range 1.83-3.75). The association of knee injury with rOA and sxOA was magnified among individuals with vs. without joint hypermobility in GOGO: rOA aOR 11.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.0-30.1 vs. 2.7, 95% CI 2.0-3.6, p=0.009; sxOA aOR 9.2, 95% CI 3.5-24.3 vs. 3.3, 95% CI 2.4-4.4, p=0.032. Interactions were not statistically significant in GO or JoCoOA. Conclusions: In a general adult population, the presence of joint hypermobility may not modify the strong association between knee injury and OA.

Long-Term Survival after Cardiac Surgery in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

BACKGROUND: Although many patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) require a prolonged length of stay (PLOS) following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the impact of PLOS on long-term survival has not been examined in this population. OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between PLOS and long-term survival among COPD and non-COPD patients after CABG and to examine consequent policy and practice-based implications. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of CABG patients was conducted between 2002 and 2011. Long-term survival was compared in patients with and without COPD and stratified by PLOS. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed using a Cox regression model. RESULTS: A total of 203 patients (4.2%) had PLOS after nonemergent CABG (N = 4801). PLOS was an important independent predictor of decreased long-term survival (no COPD, no PLOS: HR = 1.0; COPD, no PLOS: adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.8 [1.5-2.1]; no COPD, PLOS: 3.3 [2.5-4.4]; COPD, PLOS: 6.0 [4.4-8.2]; PTrend < .001). CONCLUSIONS: COPD and PLOS are 2 of many factors that affect long-term mortality in postoperative CABG patients. Aggressive treatment strategies aimed at early weaning off of mechanical ventilation and prevention of reintubation among COPD patients must be considered carefully as a means to reduce length of stay after CABG. Our results also have important implications for the long-term management of these patients and strategies for containing costs over the life course of the patient.

Obstructive Sleep Apnea in Obese Hospitalized Patients: A Single Center Experience.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is an important health problem associated with significant morbidity and mortality. This condition often is underrecognized in hospitalized patients. The aim of this study was to conduct a clinical pathway evaluation (CPE) among obese patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital. We also assessed oxygen desaturation index (ODI, measured by overnight pulse oximetry) as a potential low-cost screening tool for identifying OSA. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 754 patients admitted to an academic medical center between February 2013 and February 2014. Consecutive obese patients (body mass index ≥ 30) admitted to the hospital (medical services) were screened and evaluated for OSA with the snoring, tiredness during daytime, observed apnea, high blood pressure (STOP) questionnaire. The admitting team was advised to perform follow-up evaluation, including polysomnography, if the test was positive. RESULTS: A total of 636 patients were classified as high risk and 118 as low risk for OSA. Within 4 w of discharge, 149 patients underwent polysomnography, and of these, 87% (129) were shown to have OSA. An optimal screening cutoff point for OSA (apnea-hypopnea index ≥ 10/h) was determined to be ODI ≥ 10/h [Matthews correlation coefficient = 0.36, 95% confidence interval = 0.24-0.47]. Significantly more hospitalized patients were identified and underwent polysomnography compared with the year prior to introduction of the CPE. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the CPE increased the identification of OSA in this population. Furthermore, ODI derived from overnight pulse oximetry may be a cost-effective strategy to screen for OSA in hospitalized patients.

Increased coronary artery disease severity in black women undergoing coronary bypass surgery.

Race and sex disparities are believed to play an important role in heart disease. The purpose of this study was to examine the association between race, sex, and number of diseased vessels at the time of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and subsequent postoperative outcomes. The 13,774 patients undergoing first-time, isolated CABG between 1992 and 2011 were included. Trend in the number of diseased vessels between black and white patients, stratified by sex, were analyzed using a Cochran-Armitage trend test. Models were adjusted for age, procedural status (elective vs. nonelective), and payor type (private vs. nonprivate insurance). Black female CABG patients presented with an increasingly greater number of diseased vessels than white female CABG patients (adjusted P(trend) = 0.0021). A similar trend was not observed between black and white male CABG patients (adjusted P(trend) = 0.18). Black female CABG patients were also more likely to have longer intensive care unit and hospital lengths of stay than other race-sex groups.Our findings suggest that black female CABG patients have more advanced coronary artery disease than white female CABG patients. Further research is needed to determine the benefit of targeted preventive care and preoperative workup for this high-risk group.

Race, insurance type, and stage of presentation among lung cancer patients.

The purpose of this study was to determine whether African-American lung cancer patients are diagnosed at a later stage than white patients, regardless of insurance type. The relationship between race and stage at diagnosis by insurance type was assessed using a Poisson regression model, with relative risk as the measure of association. The setting of the study was a large tertiary care cancer center located in the southeastern United States. Patients who were diagnosed with lung cancer between 2001 and 2010 were included in the study. A total of 717 (31%) African-American and 1,634 (69%) white lung cancer patients were treated at our facility during the study period. Adjusting for age, sex, and smoking-related histology, African-American patients were diagnosed at a statistically significant later stage (III/IV versus I/II) than whites for all insurance types, with the exception of Medicaid. Our results suggest that equivalent insurance coverage may not ensure equal presentation of stage between African-American and white lung cancer patients. Future research is needed to determine whether other factors such as treatment delays, suboptimal preventive care, inappropriate specialist referral, community segregation, and a lack of patient trust in health care providers may explain the continuing racial disparities observed in the current study.